Some fleets could keep a number of diesel vans indefinitely due to concerns about aspects of switching to EVs, according to Fleetcheck.
The software company’s managing director Peter Golding said that a variety of businesses already felt that they had applications for which current electric van designs would never be suitable, leaving diesel as their only option.
He said: “Some of our customers are telling us that they feel caught in a difficult situation. As they see it, there are some jobs for which electric vans are unlikely to ever make sense – for example, where very long range is needed, where there is a lack of charging facilities in remote areas, or where there is a need to keep moving during power cuts. They believe that this leaves them no choice other than to operate diesel vans until the technology changes
“However, they also foresee a point fairly soon when they’ll no longer want to buy new diesel vans because of concerns over future residual values as the market shifts to electrification towards the end of the decade. If you keep your vehicles for 5-6 years, this is a concern.
“Essentially, what some are planning to do is keep a handful of diesel vans indefinitely and there is a possibility that they already own these vans now. They see no choice, but hanging onto these vehicles is something that is going to create a whole range of operational issues.”
Golding said the main problem with keeping these diesel vans for longer was that ensuring they were kept safe and roadworthy was likely to prove extremely challenging.
He said: “It’s no exaggeration to suggest that, by the turn of the decade, some fleets may already be operating a number of diesel vans that have been in service for nearly a decade with no plans to take them out of service.
“There appear to be two scenarios. One is that fleets will want to keep some diesels rather than use EVs because they are used intensively, the other is that they will be used infrequently as a flexible back-up.
“Both of these situations create maintenance problems. Keeping a ten-year-old van covering 30,000 miles a year in a good state of repair is expensive and difficult; ensuring a rarely used van is always ready to go is almost equally tricky.”
One solution to the problem, according to Golding, could involve deployment of hydrogen technology.
He said: “We believe that the ideal solution would be for the UK Government would introduce an effective road hydrogen strategy, giving these fleets a more flexible, zero emissions alternative to diesel in the long term but there is simply no sign of this happening. In our view, this is a mistake.
“The only other outcome, in our view, is that there is a technological shift in either electric van range or the charging infrastructure that resolves the issues that these fleets believe make ongoing diesel van necessary – but it’s difficult to envisage what this would look like.”
